Obviously, all statuses are solidly in the probably realm and they should be considered only on a relative basis. Statuses are based on perfect world outcomes, which as we all know often don’t happen. In other words, if a perpetrator was able to purchase a gun because of a clerical system error it doesn’t mean that absent that clerical system error that prohibited him from purchasing a gun that he wouldn’t have acquired one by another means, like stealing one. Likewise, the existence of a red flag law and a perpetrator with multiple red flags definitely doesn’t mean that the red flag law will succeed in preventing that perpetrator from committing a mass shooting. In fact, the odds are it won’t. Finally, if law enforcement inaction at a mass shooting incident didn’t happen, it doesn’t mean that the resulting appropriate law enforcement action would appreciably change the outcome. It also needs to be stated that even if mental health personnel intervene, including ordering involuntary commitments to a facility, those stays are often very short, and most often would have far predated the incident. There are just too many variables and what ifs to definitively predict what might or might not happen. However, we’d be remiss if we didn’t thoroughly analyze every mass shooting and identify we can do or do differently to prevent them. That’s the purpose of the Preventable Mass Shootings Database.